区域城乡收入差距的动态收敛性与影响因素探究  

Dynamic Convergence of Urban-Rural Income Gap and Its Influencing Factors

作　　者：宋建[1] 王静[2,3] SONG Jian;WANG Jing(School of Economics,Nanjing University,Nanfing 210093,China;Political and Economic Research Institute,Nanjing.Audit University,Nanjing 211815,China;Antai College of Economics &Management,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai 200030,China)

机构地区：[1]南京大学经济学院,江苏南京210093 [2]南京审计大学政治与经济研究院,江苏南京211815 [3]上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海200030

出　　处：《经济经纬》2019年第1期18-25,共8页Economic Survey

基　　金：江苏高校哲学社会科学基金项目(2017SJB0344);江苏省社会科学基金项目(17SHC003);南京审计大学政府审计研究基金资助项目(GASA171006);中国博士后科学基金第63批面上资助项目(2018M630427);山东省社会科学规划课题(10CJGJ15)

摘　　要：从不同区域人口迁移的视角,采用1997—2016年中国31个省(区、市)的面板数据,分析了城乡收入差距的动态收敛问题。研究发现:我国不同地区间城乡收入差距存在绝对收敛和条件收敛,东部收敛速度慢于中部而高于西部,且中部收敛速度高于全国平均水平;从分周期的动态收敛看,整个周期内无论是绝对收敛速度还是相对收敛速度,均呈现先下降后上升的V形走势。进一步分析影响城乡收入不平等的因素发现,人口迁移能够显著缩小城乡收入差距,且通过户籍城镇化机制发生作用;迁入人口若能顺利转变为城镇人口,则可缩小收入差距。目前,我国迁移人口难以顺利取得城市户籍,人口迁移对缩小城乡收入差距的作用不明显。From the perspective of population migration in different regions,this paper uses the panel data of 31 provinces in China from1997 to 2016 to analyze the dynamic convergence of urban-rural income gap. The results show that there are absolute convergence and conditional convergence in different regions. The speed of convergence in eastern region is slower than that in the central region but faster than that in the western region. The convergence rate in the central region is higher than the national average. Viewing from the dynamic convergence on cycles,both absolute convergence and conditional convergence show a "V"trend throughout the entire cycle.Further analysis of influencing factors of the income gap shows that population migration can significantly narrow the income gap through the urbanization of household registration. If city immigrants can successfully change into the urban registration,it can narrow the income gap. At present,this effect is weak because the migrating population in China cannot easily realize this change.

关 键 词：省际人口迁移 城乡收入差距 动态收敛 户籍城市化 

分 类 号：F240[经济管理—劳动经济]