中美贸易战下国际大豆价格波动、影响及中国策略  

Price Fluctuation and the Impact of International Soybean under the Sino-US Trade War and Strategy of China

作　　者：刘力宇 Liu Liyu(Tsinghua University,School of Economics and Management,beijing100084)

机构地区：[1]清华大学经济管理学院,北京100084

出　　处：《价格月刊》2019年第1期23-26,共4页

基　　金：北京市自然科学基金资助项目(编号:9042001)

摘　　要：从我国大豆进出口量、进出口金额、供给量、消费量、大豆进口依存度、进口国别及比例等方面分析我国大豆进出口情况、CBOD大豆期货行情、贸易战以来我国大豆价格行情、青岛港美国大豆到岸税后价格和山东大豆出厂价格,得出结论:中美贸易战下我国寻求他国大豆来源渠道较为有限、贸易战容易引发与大豆相关行业的产品价格上涨、对美国豆农利益、大豆出口大国地位都会造成一定影响,并从我国角度提出相应的解决对策。By researching the price fluctuation of international soybean under Sino-US trade war, the impact and Chinese strategy, this paper starts from the Chinese soybean import and export volume, import and export amount, supply volume, consumption volume, soybean dependency, importer and proportion to analyze the situation of Chinese soybean import and export, CBOD soybean futures condition, Chinese soybean price situation since the trade war, prices after tax of US soybean in Qingdao Port and factory price of Shandong soybean, comes to conclusions: the soybean purchasing channel from other sources of China is limited under the Sino-US trade war, the trade war will arouse the product prices relevant with soybean to increase, which will impact the benefit of US soybean farmers, soybean export big power, and puts forward relevant countermeasure from the perspective of China.

关 键 词：中美贸易战 大豆 价格波动 中国策略 

分 类 号：F726[经济管理—产业经济]