中国城镇居民区域消费差异的因素分解  

Decomposition of the Factors Influencing the Regional Consumption Difference of Urban Residents in China

作　　者：邱涛[1] 刘明强 QIU Tao;LIU Mingqiang

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学天府学院 [2]西南科技大学理学院

出　　处：《现代城市研究》2019年第1期54-59,共6页Modern Urban Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(11604274)

摘　　要：本文通过收集我国2004-2015年省际面板数据,建立固定效应模型,对我国城镇居民区域消费的影响因素进行了定量分析,并运用Shapley值分解方法分解了这些因素,得出结论如下:城镇居民人均可支配收入、城镇化率、幼儿抚养比、地区固有因素和医疗保健支出比对区域消费影响显著,失业率、老年抚养比对区域消费影响不显著;各因素对我国城镇居民区域消费差异的贡献度,按从大到小的排序为:城镇居民人均可支配收入、地区固有因素、城镇化率、幼儿抚养比、医疗保健支出比。In this paper,we built fixed effects regression model based on the panel data during 2004-2015, and examined the factors impacting the regional consumption of urban residents in China with the Shapley value decomposition method.We conclude that the urban per capita disposable income,urbanization rate,children dependency ratio,regional inherent factors and health care expenditure significantly affect consumption,while the impacts of the unemployment rate and elderly dependency ratio were not so obvious.Contribution of various factors to the regional consumption difference of urban residents in China can be ranked from high to low as:the per capita disposable income of urban residents,the regional inherent factor,the urbanization rate,the children dependency ratio and the health care expenditure ratio.

关 键 词：城镇居民区域消费 消费差异 固定效应模型 Shapley值分解 

分 类 号：F224.9[经济管理—国民经济]