区域产业结构与学科创新体系对接分析研究——以河北省为例  

Interconnection Analysis of Regional Industrial Structures and Discipline Innovation System:A Case of Hebei Province

作　　者：孔海东[1] 刘兵[1] 徐志云[2] 张晖[1] KONG Hai -dong;LIU Bing;XU Zhi-yun;ZHANG Hui(Hebei University of Technology,Tianjin 300401,China;Hebei Institute of Science and Technology Information,Shijiazhuang 050021,China)

机构地区：[1]河北工业大学,天津300401 [2]河北省科学技术情报研究院,河北石家庄050021

出　　处：《黑龙江高教研究》2019年第2期59-65,共7页Heilongjiang Researches on Higher Education

基　　金：河北省科技计划项目"河北省产业与冀津学科创新体系对接分析研究"(编号:164576479)

摘　　要：为研究解决区域产业结构、劳动力结构和学科创新体系之间的对接和协调发展问题,基于SVAR模型的脉冲响应与方差分解分析,对河北省1985-2016年三者之间的动态响应关系进行统计分析。研究发现:区域三次产业在GDP、劳动力和重点学科结构之间同时存在彼此促进、协调性较好以及制约阻碍、协调性较差的情况;学科创新体系优化可能主要受到产业结构变迁的影响,但其短期内难以对产业与劳动力结构的优化升级形成有效支撑,正向促进作用具有滞后期。In order to solve the problem of docking and coordinated development between regional industrial structures,labor structures and discipline innovation system,we performed a statistical analysis of the dynamic response relationship between these three factors from 1985 to 2016 in Hebei province by using impulse response and variance decomposition analysis based on SVAR model.The results showed that the three industries in the region have mutual promotion,coordination and constraints,and poor coordination between GDP,labor force and key discipline structure.The optimization of discipline innovation system may be mainly affected by industrial structure changes.However,in a short term,it is difficult to play a supporting role in the optimization and upgrading of the industries and labor structures,and its positive effect is lagged behind.

关 键 词：产业结构 学科创新体系 劳动力结构 SVAR模型 对接 

分 类 号：G647[文化科学—高等教育学]