供电局配电故障分析与预测系统  

Analysis and Forecast Switch Hitch System of Power Supply Bureau

作　　者：喻占武[1] 李锐[1] 张晋东[1] 胡瑞敏[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉大学多媒体网络通信工程研究所,武汉430079

出　　处：《计算机工程与应用》2002年第6期223-226,共4页Computer Engineering and Applications

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(编号:49771064);国家测绘科技发展基金资助(编号:97009);湖北省自然科学基金资助(编号:98J080)

摘　　要：分析与预测故障对配电维护管理部门具有重要意义。文章从供电局配电故障分析与预测系统的体系结构、运作模型等方面,详细分析了其结构特点、信息流转方式,并综合运用数据仓库技术、统计学等多种科学,论述了根据气象因素预测配电故障发生和电网负荷的供电局配电故障分析与预测系统的实现。在系统投入运行的实际过程中,根据该系统获得的信息,管理部门对配电设备的维护具有方向性。同时,由于系统提供大量的统计、预测数据,使设备的预维护得以完成,管理工作达到前期控制,设备故障减至最小,取得了较高的经济效益。Analysis and forecast switch hitch is important for power supply bureau.This dissertation from the system's systematic frame and its dynamic model in detail,introduces the system's characteristic of the frame and the mode of information interacting.The authors manage synthetically data warehouse technique and statistics,etc,discusses how to re-alize analysis and forecast switch hitch System.The system can forecast occur of switch hitch according to meteorologic factor.In practical applications,based on the information getting from this system,manage department has orientation in maintenance of switch equipment.And they can complete pre-maintenance of equipment for this system offering vast statistical and forecast data.Managers control their job in advance and equipment's hitches lessen to nadir.The power supply bureau gets upper economic benefits.

关 键 词：配电故障分析 数据仓库 数据挖掘 回归分析 供电局 电力系统 

分 类 号：TM711[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]