模型联解法在油田开发指标预测中的应用  

The application of Joint-Model Solution to Prediction of Development Targets in Oilfield

作　　者：李建红[1] 

机构地区：[1]胜利石油管理局石油学校,山东东营257098

出　　处：《新疆石油学院学报》2002年第1期36-39,共4页Journal of Xinjiang Petroleum Institute

摘　　要：选取对数正态分布的产量预测模型和logistic含水预测模型联立求解 ,进行开发指标预测。矿场实便计算结果表明 :运用该方法求得的产油量、含水率、产液量及可采储量等开发指标比较符合油田开发实际情况。该模型联解法可以作为制定油田中、长期开发规划的依据。The prediction model of logarithmic normal output distribution and the predcctio n model of logistic water-bearing are joined in order to obtain prediction of de velopment targets.In terms of oil output,content of water bearing and so on, the development targets of these are in accordance with the demands of actual si tuation in oilfield.It can be regarded as the basis of long-term oilfield develo pment.

关 键 词：模型联解法 油田开发 指标预测 应用 年产量 含水率 可采储量 模型 

分 类 号：TE319[石油与天然气工程—油气田开发工程]