商业性城市负荷特点及其短期负荷预测  

Characters and short-term forecast of commercial city power load

作　　者：陈晓平 胡子珩 刘顺桂 莫维仁[2] 张伯明[2] 

机构地区：[1]深圳供电局,广东深圳518001 [2]清华大学电机系,北京100084

出　　处：《广东电力》2002年第2期1-4,共4页Guangdong Electric Power

摘　　要：商业性城市负荷有其典型的特点 ,只有充分分析这些特点 ,才能有针对性地修正负荷预测算法 ,使得这些算法在预测上达到有效、准确。鉴此 ,以深圳市为代表分析了商业性城市负荷的特征及其原理 ,并提出有针对性的预测算法修正模式 。The power load of a commercial city has its own characters. In order to forecast this kind of load efficiently and exactly, a detailed analysis on its characters is needed. This paper investigates the load characters of the power system of Shenzhen City, and studies out suitable mathematics model. Then, the paper brings out several effective means to improve the ordinary forecasting method to adapt to the load characters. The improved method enhances obviously the accuracy of power load forecast in Shenzhen.

关 键 词：商业性城市 负荷特点 短期负荷预测 电力系统 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]