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机构地区:[1]中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,乌鲁木齐830011
出 处:《干旱区地理》2002年第2期189-192,共4页Arid Land Geography
基 金:国家自然科学基金项目 (项目编号 :498710 3 2 )
摘 要:从新疆自 2 0世纪 80年代以来城市化水平与经济发展水平、产业结构的变化的吻合度或偏离度 ,来论述新疆的城市化水平是否与经济发展相协调 ,求证新疆城市化与经济发展水平之间的相关关系 ,并预测城市化率 ;剖析新疆城市化滞后于经济发展的原因 ,提出新疆正处于城市化由初期向快速发展期的过渡阶段 ,加快城市化的关键是推进工业化。Through analyzing the change of economic development, industrial structure and urbanization from 1980s in Xinjiang, and comparing to general urbanization law in the world and ordinary cases in China, firstly, the paper measured the agreement and disagreement of urbanization to economy development in Xinjiang, discussed whether urbanization is suit to economy development. Secondly, it tried to testify and figure out the mutual relationship between urbanization rate and per capita gross domestic product from 1985~1999 in Xinjiang, advancing a new logarithmic function of urbanization rate and per capita gross domestic product: Y=7.58lgX+7.89 (Y is urbanization rate; X is per capita gross domestic product calculated in $),and predicting the rate of urbanization with the logarithmic function; Thirdly it analyzed the reasons of Xinjiang's urbanization lagging behind economy development, compares the changes between industrialization rate, proportion of tertiary industry in gross domestic product and urbanization rate, and considers that Xinjiang's urbanization rate suits to its industrialization rate and lags behind the proportion of third industry in gross domestic product; Finally, it point out that Xinjiang's urbanization is in the interim phase of initial stage and rapid development stage, which the key to raise the urbanization rate is to speed up the process of industries.
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