地震灾害预测与地震灾害等级  

A Method for Prediction and Classification of Earthquake Disasters

作　　者：尹之潜[1] 李树桢[1] 赵直[1] 杨淑文[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家地震局工程力学研究所

出　　处：《中国地震》1991年第1期9-19,共11页Earthquake Research in China

基　　金：地震学联合基金

摘　　要：本文根据我国近几年的震害经验,提出了一个概率型的地震灾害预测方法。该法给出了一幢建筑在给定期间内或确定地震强度下的震害预测方法,还给出了一个城市或一个地区的建筑群体在给定期间内或确定地震强度下的震害预测和地震造成的经济损失及人员伤亡的分析方法。文中还研究了几类主要建筑的抗力概率密度分布类型和地震灾害等级的划分。In this paper,a probabilistic model for the prediction of earthquake disaster is presented based on the experience of recent earthquakes in China, In which, the methods of predicting damage to the buildings, the earthquake losses,the casualties and the homelessness are given. In addition,the distribution density of the resistance in some main types of building and the classificafion of earthquake disasters are also studies.

关 键 词：地震 灾害 预测 等级 

分 类 号：P315.9[天文地球—地震学]