驾驶员因素对道路交通事故指标的影响分析  

Analysis of effects of driver factors on road traffic accident indexes

作　　者：张丽霞[1] 刘涛[1] 潘福全[1] 郭涛[1] 刘瑞昌[1] 

机构地区：[1]青岛理工大学汽车与交通学院,副教授山东青岛266520

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2014年第5期79-84,共6页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助(12YJCZH162);山东省自然科学基金资助(ZR2012EEM05);山东省高等学校科技计划项目(J12LB08)

摘　　要：为更有针对性地管理交通事故中的驾驶员因素,通过统计分析我国2001—2011年道路交通事故数据,研究驾驶员酒后驾驶、疲劳驾驶和超速行驶等11个与驾驶员相关的因素对交通事故4大指标的影响。利用SPSS软件和相关性分析法,分析11个驾驶员因素与交通事故4大指标的关系。重点分析1～5 a驾龄驾驶员引发事故的死亡人数与交通事故死亡总人数的关系。结果表明：酒后驾驶、疲劳驾驶、超速行驶和不按规定让车这4个驾驶员因素对道路交通事故的影响最大;驾龄小于3 a的驾驶员对交通事故死亡人数的影响最大。In order to control driver factors in road traffic accidents,effects of 11 driver factors,such as drunk driving,fatigue driving,on 4 major indicators of traffic accidents were analyzed based on the data on the 2001- 2011 road traffic accidents in China. Using correlation analysis method and SPSS software,the relationships between 11 factors and 4 major indicators were quantitatively analyzed. The relationship between total number of road traffic accident deaths and that of deaths caused by driving age of 1 to 5 years and accidental death distribution was analyzed. The results show that drunk driving,fatigue driving,speeding and failing to yield have the greatest impacts on road traffic accidents and drivers with driving age less than 3 years have the greatest influence on accidental deaths.

关 键 词：道路交通 驾驶员因素 交通事故 统计指标 定量分析 

分 类 号：X928.0[环境科学与工程—安全科学] U491.3[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]