区域用水总量控制模糊综合评价研究  

Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of Regional Total Water Consumption Control

作　　者：吴书悦 杨雨曦[1] 彭宜蔷 俞小彤 宋紫淳 

机构地区：[1]河海大学,南京210098

出　　处：《南水北调与水利科技》2014年第4期92-97,共6页South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology

基　　金：河海大学大学生创新训练项目(2013102941039)

摘　　要：用水总量控制作为最严格水资源管理制度"三条红线"之一,对其实施效果进行合理的评价至关重要。在科学界定区域用水总量控制内涵的基础上,从水资源、社会、经济和环境四个方面出发,构建了包括人均水资源量、水资源开发利用率、区域缺水率等13个基础指标的区域用水总量控制评价指标体系,并对各评价指标的考核标准进行了划分,建立了基于层次分析法的模糊综合评价模型,用于评价区域用水总量控制实施效果。选择南京市高淳区进行了模型应用实例研究,评价结果符合客观实际。Total water consumption control is one of the＂three lines＂in the strictest water resources management system,and a reasonable evaluation of its implementation effects is important.In this paper,the connotation of regional total water consumption control was established first.Then,an evaluation index system of regional total water consumption control was developed from the perspectives of water resources,society,economy,and environment.The evaluation index system included 13specific indexes,such as per capita possession of water resources,utilization efficiency of water resources,and regional water shortage rate.Finally,the evaluation criteria of each index were conducted and a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model was developed based on AHP to evaluate the implementation effects of regional total water consumption control.The model was applied to the Gaochun district of Nanjing,and the evaluation results were reasonable.

关 键 词：用水总量控制 评价指标体系 层次分析法 模糊综合评价 

分 类 号：TV211.1[水利工程—水文学及水资源]