水资源可计算一般均衡模型研究进展综述  

Research development of water resource Computable General Equilibrium(CGE)Model

作　　者：周娜[1] 贾仰文[1] 胡鹏[1] 雷霄雯[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038 [2]四川大学,四川成都610065

出　　处：《中国水利水电科学研究院学报》2014年第1期76-80,共5页Journal of China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(50939006);中国水利水电科学研究院博士创新基金

摘　　要：可计算一般均衡模型(CGE)是经济学领域重要的经济模型之一,可以有效刻画经济体与商品、要素之间的联动关系,已经广泛应用于经济生产评估分析的各个领域。目前水资源CGE模型主要研究方向是将水资源作为一个约束、部门或者生产要素纳入到CGE模型中,评估水资源在经济社会发展中的作用,用以分析水价、水资源配置与调控、水资源政策评估以及水资源环境经济核算等问题。未来的研究重点将着眼于构建跨区域水量-水质联合约束的动态水资源CGE模型,对自然-社会二元水循环中的水资源与经济生产的联动关系问题进行更加深入、科学、量化的研究。Computable General Equilibrium （CGE） is one of the most important economics models in the field of economics. CGE model can describe the relationship among economy, commodity and element. A water resources CGE model brings water resources as a constraint, department or production factor into it. The water resources CGE model can estimate the role water resources play in economical development to analyze issues such as water price, water resources allocation and regulation, water resources policy assess- ment and water resources environmental and economic accounting. Under the circumstance of nature-society binary water cycle, the future research will mainly focus on constructing inter-regional dynamic water resources CGE models with united constraints of water quantity and quality so as to research the relationship between water resource and economic production more deeply, scientifically and quantitatively.

关 键 词：水资源 可计算一般均衡模型 二元水循环 研究进展 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]