中国少数民族人口的城镇化水平及其发展趋势  

Minority Population′s Urbanization Level and Its Trends in China

作　　者：焦开山[1] 

机构地区：[1]中央民族大学民族学与社会学学院社会学系

出　　处：《民族研究》2014年第4期36-48,124,共13页Ethno-National Studies

摘　　要：本文基于2000年第五次全国人口普查和2010年第六次全国人口普查数据资料,利用空间统计分析方法,对各地区少数民族人口的城镇化水平及其发展趋势进行了分析。结果发现,少数民族人口的城镇化水平相对较低,但城镇化率年均提高1个百分点左右,已经处于城镇化快速发展的阶段。同时,本文也发现,少数民族人口的城镇化水平及其发展趋势具有显著的地区差异和空间关联性。要实现《国家新型城镇化规划(2014—2020年)》提出的城镇化率达到60%的目标,必须高速推进少数民族人口的城镇化,城镇化率须年均提高2.7个百分点,由此带来的风险需要引起有关部门的足够重视。少数民族人口城镇化的发展需要根据不同地区的实际情况制定科学合理的规划。Based on the data from the Fifth National Census in 2000 and the Sixth National Census in 2010,this paper uses spatial statistics to study minority population's urbanization level and its trends.The results show that minority population's urbanization level is low,however the urbanization rate increases at about 1 percentage point annually.It is self-evident that minority population's urbanization is in the period of rapid development.The results also show that there is a significant regional difference and spatial association in minority population's urbanization level and its changes.To realize the goal of urbanization rate which is reached 60%put forward by National New Urbanization Planning(2014-2020),it must promote minority population urbanization at a high speed,that is to say,the urbanization rate should increase at about 2.7 percentage point annually.This may lead to some risks to which more attentions should be paid.Therefore,minority population's urbanization planning should be made scientifically on the basis of regional conditions.

关 键 词：少数民族人口 城镇化水平 城镇化速度 空间自相关 

分 类 号：F299.21[经济管理—国民经济]