细胞自动机模型用于城市发展模拟的方法初探——以海口市为例  

THE URBAN EXPANDING SIMULATION WITH THE CELLULAR AUTOMATA MODEL IN HAIKOU

作　　者：武晓波[1] 赵健 魏成阶 黄丽芳 阎守邕 肖春生 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院遥感应用研究所

出　　处：《城市规划》2002年第8期69-73,共5页City Planning Review

基　　金：欧共体项目"基于遥感和GIS技术的自然资源(生物多样性;土壤和水)可持续发展的景观管理策略研究--以海南岛为例"资助

摘　　要：在简要阐述了细胞自动机模型的基本概念及其在地理学中的应用历史后 ,以海南省海口市的城市发展为例 ,初步探讨了应用该模型 ,对蔓延生长、中心生长、沿交通线生长和农村居民点城市化等四种城市扩展类型进行模拟 ,并将模拟成果与 1996及 2 0 0 0年城市实际发展状况作对比分析 ,模拟精度达到 82 %以上。我们认为 ,基于遥感和地理信息系统的细胞自动机模型应用是城市发展预测研究的一个有效工具。The cellular automata (CA) model is a powerful mathematical tool. It has been applied to study of geography since 1950s. A method of simulating urbanization with CA model is presented in the paper with the Haikou City as the case. In this study, four types of city expanding were used to simulate the evolution of Haikou during the period of 1987 to 2000. They are expanding from exist city cell, around the city center, along the transportation line, and rural resident spot. According to the spatial occupation reality of Haikou in 1996 and 2000, the simulation accuracy is greater than 82%. CA model is considered a useful tool for urbanization research.

关 键 词：细胞自动化模型 城市发展模拟 海口市 

分 类 号：TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]