流行性感冒数学建模研究进展  

Advance in research of mathematical model for controlling influenza

作　　者：陈田木[1] 刘如春[1] 谢知[1] 胡伟红[1] 李亚曼[1] 李叶兰[1] 王智宇[1] 

机构地区：[1]长沙市疾病预防控制中心,湖南长沙410001

出　　处：《中国热带医学》2014年第7期890-894,共5页China Tropical Medicine

基　　金：湖南省卫生厅科研项目(No.B2012-138);长沙市科技局科研项目(No.K1205028-31)

摘　　要：由于缺乏无干预情况下的疫情数据,流感防控策略(包括药物干预和非药物干预)的效果很难通过传统的流行病学设计得以评价。因此,数学建模成为了制定和评估流感流行应对策略的重要手段。现按照流感疫情和流感监测归类,对近年来常用模型研究与热点进行归纳,综述各类数学模型的研究现况,为流感数学建模提供参考。Owing to lacking non-intervention data of infection, it is difficult to evaluate the effectiveness of the strategies for prevention and control of influenza （including both pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions） through traditional epidemiological study designs. Because of this, mathematical modeling has become an important tool in the design and evaluation of influenza control strategies. In this paper the studies on the control of influenza with common-used models and hot topics in recent years were classified based on infectious data and surveillance data for the sake of providing scientific reference for building influenza model in the future.

关 键 词：流感 数学模型 进展 

分 类 号：R511.7[医药卫生—内科学]