IPCC第五次评估报告气候变化对人类福祉影响的新认知  

IPCC AR5 Updated Understanding of Climate Change Impacts on Human Well-Beings

作　　者：张存杰[1] 黄大鹏[1,2] 刘昌义[1] 刘起勇[3] 

机构地区：[1]中国气象局国家气候中心,北京100081 [2]南京信息工程大学气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创中心,南京210044 [3]中国疾病预防控制中心传染病预防控制所/传染病预防控制国家重点实验室,北京102206

出　　处：《气候变化研究进展》2014年第4期246-250,共5页Climate Change Research

基　　金：国家科技支撑课题"IPCC第五次评估对我国应对气候变化战略的影响"(2012BAC20B05);国家自然科学基金(41101517);国家重大科学研究计划课题(2012CB955504)

摘　　要：IPCC第五次评估报告(AR5)第二工作组(WGⅡ)报告评估了气候变化对人类健康、人类安全、生计与贫困的影响,指出气候变化已经对人类健康和安全造成了负面影响,气候变化、气候变率和极端气候事件给城市和农村的贫困人口增添了额外的负担,与气候变化相关的风险增大。21世纪的气候变化,将继续加剧现有健康问题,增加人类的迁徙,放大冲突的驱动因素的影响,对许多国家的关键基础设施造成不利影响,给小岛国和有很长海岸线国家的领土完整带来风险;整个21世纪,气候变化将减缓经济增长,进一步威胁粮食安全,使减贫更为困难,贫困问题更加突出。The IPCC WGⅡAR5 assessed the climate change impacts on human health,human security,and livelihood ＆ poverty.It concludes that climate change has negatively affected human health and security; climate change,climate variability and climate extremes have added extra burden to the poor in the urban and rural areas,increasing climate-related risks.Throughout the 21 st century,climate change is projected to further exacerbate health problems that already exist,increase human migration,multiply conflict drivers,cause damages to the key infrastructures and services in many countries,and challenge the territorial integrity of the small island states and countries that own long coastal lines; climate change is projected to slow down economic growth,erode food security,prolong existing and create new poverty traps in urban and rural hotspots,and make poverty reduction more difficult.

关 键 词：气候变化 影响与适应 人类健康 人类安全 生计与贫困 

分 类 号：P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]