基于Lotka-Volterra模型的区域低碳产业生态系统演化研究  

Research on the Evolution of Regional Low Carbon Industrial Ecosystem Based on Lotka-Volterra Model

作　　者：范太胜[1] 

机构地区：[1]福州大学阳光学院,福建福州350015

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2014年第15期219-223,共5页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：福建省社会科学规划项目"福建省低碳经济动力学模型及其政策仿真研究"(2011C024)

摘　　要：区域低碳产业生态系统具有自然生态系统相似的系统演化特性,耦合了产业群落、经济、社会和环境系统而形成复杂系统,该生态系统有着自身的运行机制,包括竞争机制、驱动机制、导向机制和反馈机制。利用Lotka-Volterra模型可以分析区域低碳产业生态系统内传统产业群落和低碳产业群落间的三种竞争演化进程,区域低碳产业生态系统演化路径可分为局部简单的低碳产业群落自由繁殖、全局复杂的产业群落竞争和系统稳定的产业群落协同共生三个阶段。Regional low carbon industrial ecosystem has similar system evolution characteristics of natural ecosystem.It is a complex system coupling industry community,economic,social and environmental systems,and this ecosystem has its own operation mechanism which includes competitive mechanism,driving mechanism,guiding mechanism and feedback mechanism.Then the Lotka-Volterra model is used to analyze three process types of competitive evolution between tradi-tional industrial community and low carbon industries community in the regional low carbon industrial ecosystem.The evo-lution path of regional low carbon industrial ecosystem can be divided into three stages：local simple free breeding of low carbon industry community,global complex competition of industry community and system stability cooperating intergrowth of industry community.

关 键 词：产业生态系统 系统演化 LOTKA-VOLTERRA模型 产业群落 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F205