2014年上半年国内玉米市场分析与展望  

China's Maize Market in the First Half of 2014 and Its Prospect

作　　者：谌琴[1] 高笑天[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家粮油信息中心,北京100038

出　　处：《农业展望》2014年第6期9-13,18,共6页Agricultural Outlook

摘　　要：2013年中国玉米产量继续创下21 848.9万t的历史新高,2014年第1季度在巨大的供应压力、深加工及饲料需求持续低迷、国家临储收购政策等因素的共同影响下,国内玉米价格呈稳中偏弱态势。由于临储玉米收购进展迅速,第2季度国内玉米价格出现回升。近7 000万t的临储收购总量改变了中国玉米市场供大于求的局面。2014年下半年玉米市场情况将取决于临储玉米拍卖情况,预计国内玉米市场价格将在临储玉米拍卖影响下趋稳。China＇s maize output reached a record high of 218.489 million tons in 2013. Under the combined effects of adequate supply pressure, low market demand on deep-processing and feed, temporary storage acquisition policy and other facts, China＇s maize price was weak and stable in the first quarter of 2014. But due to the rapid progress of the acquisition of temporary storage maize, maize price rebounded in the second quarter. Nearly 70 million tons of temporary storage acquistions changed the oversupply situation of maize market. Maize market will depend on the temporary storage of maize auctions in the second half of 2014, and domestic maize market price will stabilize under the influence of auctions of temporary storage maize.

关 键 词：玉米 供应 深加工 饲料 需求 临储 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]