低碳经济下物流能源效率与结构调整研究——基于技术差异视角  

Logistics Energy Efficiency and the Structure Adjustment in the Low-Carbon Economics: From the Perspective of Technical Differences

作　　者：张诚[1] 周安[1] 张志坚[1] 

机构地区：[1]华东交通大学经济管理学院,江西南昌330013

出　　处：《生态经济》2014年第9期59-63,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：2013年国家社会科学基金项目"物流产业生态系统视角下缓解城市雾霾压力的对策研究"(13BGL157);2013江西省教育厅科学技术研究项目"鄱阳湖生态经济区经济发展的物流能力支持研究"(GJJ13331);江西省社会科学规划青年项目(13GL33)

摘　　要：随着社会和政府对碳排放的日益关注,低碳成为未来物流业发展的趋势。在借鉴已有研究成果基础上,构造超越对数函数模型对物流业不同能源投入要素的产出弹性、替代弹性以及技术进步差异情况进行分析,研究结果表明:2002年开始我国物流能源利用效率在显著提高,尤以天然气能源投入的贡献最大;电力、天然气为代表的清洁能源可以有效替代石油和煤炭,并且天然气、电力等能源技术进步速度要快于石油、煤炭,未来物流业高碳排放能源将被清洁能源逐步替代。研究结果反映了我国物流业能源消耗的实际现状,可以为政府、企业发展低碳物流进行科学决策提供有益参考。With the increasing concern from the government and the whole society, the concept of low-carbon will be the futuredevelopment trend of the logistics industry. Based on current resech results, this paper discusses translog＇production functionanalyses output elasticity, the elasticity of substitution and the technological progress of the different energy inputs in logisticsindustry. The results demonstrate that： 1. Logistics efficiency increased significantly in China since 2002, among which natural gasmake the biggest contribution; 2. Clean energy like electricity and natural gas can effectively replace oil and coal, and the electricityand natural gas technology improved faster than that of oil and coal in the logistics industry. Clean energy will gradually replacehigh-carbon emission energy in the future. The findings reflect the status quo of energy consumption in the logistics industry inChina, which provides future reference for the government and private sectors to develop low-carbon logistics.

关 键 词：低碳物流 超越对数函数 岭回归 产出与替代弹性 技术差异 

分 类 号：F259.21[经济管理—国民经济]