基于绝对收入假说的四川省农村居民收入与消费关系研究  

The Relationship between Income and Consumption of Countryside Inhabitants in Sichuan Province Based on Absolute Income Hypothesis

作　　者：杜兴端[1] 李晓[1] 林正雨[1] 

机构地区：[1]四川省农业科学院农业信息与农村经济研究所,成都610066

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2014年第11期2698-2702,共5页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(11CSH014);四川省软科学项目(2012ZR0072);四川省财政基因工程项目(2012QNJJ-005)

摘　　要：四川省农村居民收入与消费之间存在稳定的均衡关系,人均纯收入对人均消费支出具有正向影响,人均消费支出的长期收入弹性为0.85,短期收入弹性为0.87。纯收入增长是促进人均消费增长的Granger原因。扩大农村消费,关键在于提高农村居民收入。要建立农村居民增收的长效机制,提高农村居民收入水平,稳定收入预期,提升农村居民消费能力。There is a stable balanced relationship between income and consumption of countryside inhabitants in Sichuan province.The per capita net income has a positive influence on the per capita consumption expenditure.Long-term and short-term and income elasticity of per capita consumption expenditure is 0.85 and is 0.87.Net income growth is a Granger cause of per capita consumption growth.The key to expand countryside inhabitants is to raise income of countryside inhabitants,to build long-standing mechanism of raising their income to raise the income level of average inhabitants,to stabilize income expectations and promote consumption capability of countryside inhabitants.

关 键 词：农村消费 绝对收入假说 协整分析 收入弹性 

分 类 号：F328[经济管理—产业经济]