中国城市休闲化影响机理研究及动态演进分析  

Research On the Mechanism of Influencing Urban Recreationalization in China and the Analysis on Its Dynamic Evolution

作　　者：张广海[1] 刘金宏[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,山东青岛266100

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2014年第8期92-99,共8页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大培育项目<我国海岛旅游开发与管理研究>(2012JDPY02);中国海洋发展研究中心重大专项<我国滨海旅游环境承载力预警研究>(AOCOUC201103)

摘　　要：构建反映中国城市休闲化影响要素间因果关系的概念模型,运用探索性因子分析与结构方程模型分析,对城市休闲化影响机理进行了识别与验证,并运用非参数核密度分布,对城市休闲化发展的动态演进趋势进行了研究与分析。结果表明,中国城市休闲化影响要素间存在较为明显的因果关联关系,且各要素对休闲化水平的影响具有非均衡性;其次,中国城市休闲化发展整体上呈现持续上升态势,并由高度集聚趋向于均衡化,但局部仍存在一定的分布差异。This paper builds a conceptual model to reflect the causal relationship between the influence factors on urban recreationalization , and uses the structural equation model to analyze and verify the impact on urban recreationalization ,furthermore ,estimating the dynamic evolution of the development of urban recreationalization in China best on the kernel density method .T he results show that ：there are more obvious causal relationship between elements of urban recreationalization ,and the importance of influences on urban recreationalization are unbalance ;in terms of the development trend of urban recreationalization , the urban recreationalization quality is gradually increasing and it is developing from highly concerted to equalization ,however ,some differences are still being among regional distribution .

关 键 词：城市休闲化 休闲产业服务能力 休闲消费能力 结构方程模型 影响机理 动态演进 

分 类 号：F299.23[经济管理—国民经济]