云南民族自治县县域经济发展失衡预警研究  

Research on Early Warning of County Economy Development Imbalance in Yunnan Ethnic Autonomous County

作　　者：李美娟[1] 唐启明[2] 

机构地区：[1]云南师范大学经济与管理学院,云南昆明650092 [2]云南师范大学外国语学院,云南昆明650092

出　　处：《重庆大学学报（社会科学版）》2014年第5期17-24,共8页Journal of Chongqing University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(11CJY043);云南省哲学社会科学规划课题(HZ201124)

摘　　要：云南民族自治县主要县域经济指标低于全省平均水平,各自治县之间经济发展差距较大,县域经济发展存在很大不平衡,发展失衡容易引发地区性社会风险。文章以县域经济发展失衡为研究对象,建立了云南民族自治县县域经济发展失衡预警指标体系,界定了预警指标的警限,并对各预警指标进行了预警判断,发现各民族自治县绝大多数预警指标存在较严重的警情,找出了县域经济发展失衡的警源。根据对云南民族自治县县域经济发展失衡预警判断和警源分析,为使民族自治县县域经济均衡和可持续发展,提出了相应对策以降低发展失衡效应。Main county economic indicators are lower than the provincial average in Yunnan Ethnic autono- mous counties, the economy development gap is large between the various counties, economy development is imbal- anced between each county, and development imbalance easily leads to regional social risks. Taking county econo- my development imbalance as the research object, we build the early warning indicators of county economy develop- ment imbalance in Yunnan Ethnic Autonomous Counties, define warning limit of early warning indicators, and con- duct warning judgement of various warning indicators, we find that early warning indicators of the majority ethnic autonomous county exist more serious warning intelligence and identify warning sources of the county economy de- velopment imbalances. In order to make county economy balanced and development sustainable in Yunnan Ethnic Autonomous Counties, we present corresponding countermeasures to lower the development imbalance effect accord- ing to the warning judgement and warning sources of the Yunnan Ethnic Autonomous County,

关 键 词：民族自治县 县域经济 发展失衡 预警 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]