2030年全球及中国铼资源需求刍议  

Discussion of world and China rhenium resource demand in 2030

作　　者：黄翀[1] 陈其慎[2,3] 李颖[2,3] 柳群义[2,3] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(北京),北京100083 [2]中国地质科学院矿产资源研究所,北京100037 [3]全球矿产资源战略研究中心,北京100037

出　　处：《中国矿业》2014年第9期9-11,29,共4页China Mining Magazine

摘　　要：本文首先简要分析了全球及中国铼的资源形势、用途及消费结构。由于铼的消费领域集中,文中采用部门需求预测法,通过分析未来航空发动机及催化剂两大主要产业的发展趋势,分别对未来全球及中国的铼资源需求进行预测,预计未来全球及中国铼资源需求量将继续增大,2030年中国铼需求量最大将达到约40t,约占全球的1/5。由于国内铼资源供应及保障程度较低,建议通过增加矿山铼产量、形成铼资源回收产业化及建立铼的战略储备机制等措施来保障我国铼资源的供应安全。This paper briefly analyses the resource situation,application and consumption structure of rhenium. As the areas of consumption are concentrated, the paper uses the method of sector demand forecasting to analyze the future rhenium demand of world and China by analyzing the future trends of the main industries of aviation engines and catalysts. It is expected that the rhenium demand will continue to increase of world and China, and China rhenium maximal demand will have reached 40t by 2030 which is ahout 1/5 of the world. Due to the low level of domestic rhenium supply and support capabilities, the suggestion to protect the security of China rhenium supply is to increase the mine production of rhenium, form the industry of rhenium scrap recovery and establish the strategic reserve mechanism of rhenium.

关 键 词：铼 资源 预测 

分 类 号：F407.1[经济管理—产业经济]