僵尸网络活跃度的网络威胁预测模型研究  

Research on prediction model of computer network threats based on botnet activity

作　　者：赵焕平[1] 薛党勤[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]南阳理工学院计算机与信息工程学院,河南南阳473004 [2]中国农业大学工学院,北京100083

出　　处：《计算机应用研究》2014年第10期3120-3121,3130,共3页Application Research of Computers

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(10771091);国家"863"计划基金资助项目(2012AA10A503)

摘　　要：当前的僵尸网络预测模型大多是基于网络流量监控,而未考虑僵尸网络的规模和僵尸机的活跃度。根据僵尸网络的特点提出一种僵尸网络威胁预测模型,该预测模型综合考虑了僵尸网络的规模和活跃度,仿真实验表明这种预测模型能够对网络潜在的威胁作出较为准确的预测,提高了网络的安全性。Now most studies for botnet prediction model are based on monitoring network traffic, without considering the size and activity of botnet. This paper proposed a botnet prediction model according to the traits of botnet, which took account into the size and activity of botnet. The simulated experiment proves that the proposed model can make accurate prediction for po- tential threat, and improve network security.

关 键 词：僵尸网络 分布式拒绝服务 信息安全 预测模型 

分 类 号：TP393.08[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]