行业异质性、CO2排放与政策选择--基于湖北省工业行业面板数据的实证研究  

Industry Characteristics,CO_2 Emissions and Policy Choices:Based on Industry Sector's Panel Data in Hubei Province

作　　者：张奋勤[1] 孙永平[1] 余珮[2] 

机构地区：[1]碳排放权交易湖北省协同创新中心,湖北经济学院,430205 [2]对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院,100029

出　　处：《经济评论》2014年第5期85-95,107,共12页Economic Review

基　　金：碳排放权交易湖北省协同创新中心团队项目“湖北省工业行业减排潜力与配额分配互动机制研究”(项目编号:13YTD003)资助

摘　　要：湖北的发展阶段和产业结构,使得湖北碳市场建设对于全国碳市场建设具有重要借鉴意义。不同的工业行业无论是其排放总量还是排放强度都存在较大的差异,要厘清各行业的碳减排潜力,必须从行业特征着手,分析行业特征与CO2排放的相关性。本文利用《湖北统计年鉴》和《中国工业统计年鉴》,进行数据挖掘和整理,在此基础上,全面分析了湖北省26个工业行业CO2减排的决定因素。分析表明,工业总产值、营业利润、国家资本、出口比例、国家政策对行业的CO2排放量具有重要影响;折旧率、能源结构、外商资本比例和人均产值对CO2排放量没有显著影响。本文的研究结论表明,基于行业特征,建立配额分配动态调整机制和行业援助机制,对于提高CO2排放权交易的公平性和经济性,以较低的经济代价推动湖北省可持续发展具有重要意义。Because of development stage and industrial structure, Hubei＇ s carbon market construction is of significance for China＇ s carbon market construction. This paper uses data mined from Hubei＇ s Statistical Yearbook and China＇ s Industrial Statistics Yearbook to analyze the potential factors of CO2 emissions of 26 industries in Hubei province. Analysis shows that the gross industrial output value, profits, ratio national capital and national policy have important effects on industry CO2 emissions;However, depreciation rate, energy structure and ratio foreign capital and per capita output do not have significant effects on the CO2 emissions. Therefore, based on industry characteristics, Hubei has to establish dynamic adjustment mechanism and industry assistance mechanism in allowance allocation system, which will improve the fairness and efficiency of emissions trading system and promote the sustainable development in Hubei Province with a relatively low economic cost.

关 键 词：工业行业 行业特征 能源消耗 碳排放权交易 

分 类 号：X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程]