农民工居住环境与年老后定居方式选择——基于辽宁497名农民工的调查数据  

Dwelling environment of migrant workers and selection of settlement patterns when getting old: Based on the survey data of 497 migrant workers in Liaoning province

作　　者：杨肖丽[1] 景再方[1] 王秋兵[2] 赵玉娜[1] 

机构地区：[1]沈阳农业大学经济管理学院,辽宁沈阳110866 [2]沈阳农业大学土地与环境学院,辽宁沈阳110866

出　　处：《湖南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2014年第4期53-60,共8页Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家自科基金面上项目(71273177);教育部人文社科青年项目(11YJC790070);中国博士后科学基金(2012M520647;2013T60300);辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目(L12AJY010);辽宁省高等学校优秀人才支持计划项目(WJQ2011013)

摘　　要：基于497份辽宁省农民工抽样调查数据,采用mlogit模型分析农民工在城市的居住环境与其年老后的定居方式选择之间的关系。结果表明:农民工在城市的居住环境越好,越倾向于年老后在城市定居;随着农民工在城市的住房质量和人均居住面积的提高,年老后定居城市的概率上升;邻居类型对农民工年老后的定居方式没有显著影响;在县城务工的农民工比在省城务工的农民工更可能在年老后定居城市;与女性农民工相比,男性更偏向于年老后回农村居住;受教育程度越高的农民工,年老后定居城市的可能性越高。Based on 497 sampling survey data of migrant workers in Shenyang and other county towns of Liaoning province, this paper makes a regression analysis by adopting multinomial Logistic models, which studies the relationship between the dwelling environment of migrant workers in city and the selection of settlement patterns when they are old. The results show that the better migrant workers＇ dwelling in cities, the more likely will they tend to live in cities when they are old. Specifically, with the improvement of their dwelling quality and per capita dwelling space, the probability of living in cities for migrant workers will ascend, while the neighbor types have no significant influence on their future settlement patterns. In addition, migrant workers who work in county towns are more likely to live in cities when they are old than those work in provincial capital city. Compared with the female migrant workers, the male ones relatively prefer to live in rural area, which is contrary to the ones who have high education level.

关 键 词：农民工 居住环境 定居方式 

分 类 号：C912.82[经济管理]