Recalculating Sino-US Trade Balance Using the Ownership-Based Statistical Method  

作　　者：姜鸿 张艺影 梅雪松 

机构地区：[1]School of Economics,Changzhou University [2]Tehua Postdoctoral Research Program

出　　处：《China Economist》2014年第5期58-65,共8页中国经济学人（英文版）

基　　金：General Program of National Social Sciences Fund "Development and Application Research for theModel of Estimating the Structure of Sino-US Trade Interests(Approval No.13BJL055)"

摘　　要：Using the trade statistical method based on asset ownership,this paper recalculated Sino-US bilateral trade volume and the result indicates that against traditional trade statistics,Chinese exports to the US reduced by an average of 51%while Chinese imports from the US increased by an average of 41%between 2004 and 2010.Balance of trade is in the range between US$2,189 billion of deficit and US$12.77 billion of surplus on the part of China,which are far smaller than the balance of Sino-US trade calculated by traditional statistical method.In order to reflect the real scale of China's foreign trade and effectively respond to Sino-US trade frictions,it is necessary for China to establish its trade statistics system based on asset ownership.Using the trade statistical method based on asset ownership, this paper recalculated Sino-US bilateral trade volume and the result indicates that against traditional trade statistics, Chinese exports to the US reduced by an average of 51% while Chinese imports from the US increased by an average of 41% between 2004 and 2010. Balance of trade is in the range between US$2.189 billion of deficit and US$12. 77 billion of surplus on the part of China, which are far smaller than the balance of Sino-US trade calculated by traditional statistical method. In order to reflect the real scale of China＇s foreign trade and effectively respond to Sino-US trade frictions, it is necessary for China to establish its trade statistics system based on asset ownership.

关 键 词：asset ownership cross-border trade Sino-US trade 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易] F757.12[经济管理—产业经济]