劳动力年龄结构与产业转型升级——基于省际面板数据的检验  

The Relationship between Labor Age Structure and Industrial Structure Change:Based on Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：任栋[1] 李新运[2] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学经济研究院,济南250100 [2]山东财经大学管理科学与工程学院,济南250014

出　　处：《人口与经济》2014年第5期95-103,共9页Population & Economics

摘　　要：产业部门的发展需要劳动力资源的支撑,文章以全国30个省际面板数据为基础,采用OLS估计法考察劳动力年龄结构变化对产业结构调整的影响。结果显示,劳动力青年人口比重较高时,产业结构升级将更为迅速,中西部产业结构调整受劳动力年龄结构的影响更为显著。我国应从加快转变发展方式、推进产业区域间转移、深化对外开放、提升劳动力资源的质量四个方面来应对劳动力老龄化带来的影响。The development of industrial needs the support of labor resources , this paper examines the effects of the changes in age structure of labor on industrial structure changing , using OLS estimation method based on the panel data of 30 Chinese provinces .The results demonstrate that higher proportion of youth labor will promote the industrial structure upgrading quickly , and the effect is more obvious in Midwest with the rapid adjustment of industrial structure .So we should deal with the impact of aging labor on adjustment of industrial structure , by accelerating the transformation of development mode , promoting inter-regional transfer of industries vigorously ,deepening opening and improving the quality of labor resources .

关 键 词：劳动力年龄结构 青年劳动力比重 产业结构调整 面板模型 

分 类 号：F241[经济管理—劳动经济]