中国现代交通运输业增长质量评价  

The Evaluation on the Quality of Modern Transportation Growth in China

作　　者：李媛[1] 任保平[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710127

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2014年第10期21-28,共8页China Business and Market

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学发展报告"中国经济增长质量报告"项目(项目编号:13JBGP014)的资助

摘　　要：中国现代交通运输业增长质量状态的量化是交通运输业增长质量问题由定性分析转向定量分析的基础.本文从现代交通运输业增长质量的内涵出发,构建出由18个基础指标构成的测度现代交通运输业增长质量的指数,采用主成分分析法确定各指标的权重,通过均值化方法对各指标数值进行无量纲化处理并以基础指标的协方差矩阵作为输入,对2004-2013年中国现代交通运输业增长质量进行测度.结果表明,过去十年间我国现代交通运输业总体层面的增长质量获得了一定程度的提高,但是具体到社会效益、经济效益以及生态效益方面则有不同程度的下降.The quantization of the quality of modern transportation growth in China is the basis for transforming from thequalitative analysis to quantitative analysis of the quality of modern transportation growth in China. Starting from the implicationof quality of modern transportation growth in China,the authors develop the index of quality of modern transportation growth inChina,which includes 18 basic indices,determine the weight of every index with the help of PCA,appliy dimensionless methodto the indices,and takes the covariance matrix of basic indices as the input to measure the quality of modern transportation growthin China from 2004 to 2013. It is showed that,during the past decade,the overall quality of modern transportation growth inChina has been increased;but such indices as social benefit,economic benefit and eco一benefit have been decreased.

关 键 词：现代交通运输业 增长质量 主成分分析法 

分 类 号：F512.0[经济管理—产业经济]