房价变动的一个理论解析——基于时变参数模型的实证  

A Theoretical Analysis on Housing Prices Fluctuating—An Empirical Study Based on Time-varying Parameter Model

作　　者：王立平[1,2] 申建文[3] 

机构地区：[1]陕西师范大学西北历史环境与经济社会发展研究院,陕西西安710062 [2]西安邮电大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710121 [3]中国人民银行西安分行,陕西西安710075

出　　处：《华东经济管理》2014年第10期87-91,共5页East China Economic Management

基　　金：陕西省教育厅科学研究计划人文社会科学专项(2013JK0103);西安邮电大学青年教师科研基金项目(102-0481)

摘　　要：文章通过典型客观事实的分析,凝练创建由非均衡制约和流动性充裕假设组成的房价变动理论模型,该模型诠释房价上涨的机理。利用动态时变参数模型,实证检验房价变动理论模型的真实性和正确性。在此基础上,从经济、金融角度提出抑制房价上涨的政策建议。Through the analysis of typical objective facts, the paper concisely builds a theoretical analysis model of housing prices fluctuating, which consists of disequilibrium constraints and abundant liquidity hypothesis, to explain the mechanism of housing prices rising. The paper also empirically tests the authenticity and validity of the theoretical model by applying the dy-namic time-varying parameter model, and puts forward viable measures from economic and financial perspectives for control-ling housing prices rising.

关 键 词：房价 客观事实 理论分析 实证检验 

分 类 号：F293.35[经济管理—国民经济]