产业升级政策的有效性研究——以广东“双转移”战略为例  

Policy Availability of The Industrial Upgrade

作　　者：王志勇[1] 陈雪梅[1] 

机构地区：[1]暨南大学经济学院,广东广州510632

出　　处：《城市发展研究》2014年第9期69-76,共8页Urban Development Studies

基　　金：广东省哲学社会科学规划项目"政策推进区域产业升级与产业转移的机制重塑研究"(项目编号:GD10CYJ20)

摘　　要：运用2003～2012年“珠三角”和“长三角”面板数据,采用双倍差分法,对政府的产业升级政策净效果进行定量分析,结果表明：（1）政府主导的产业升级从速率、方向和效益的角度看,并未表现出更好的效果,政府主导在一定程度上还起了阻碍作用;（2）市场自发引起的产业升级效益好于政府的作用;（3）对外经济开放未能显著促进珠三角的产业升级,但外贸依存度有利于促进珠三角核心区（广州、深圳、佛山、东莞）第二产业的相对发展。研究还发现,固定资产投资有利于提高企业的生产效率,第二产业与第三产业的相对发展速度有相互挤压的现象。Using level city panel data of PRD and YRD during 2003 - 2012, quantitative analysis the net effect of industrial policy by the difference in difference （DID） method. The results showed that the rate and the direction, or the effectiveness of the industrial upgrade did not show better but obstructed in a certain under the government-led. Effectiveness of industrial upgrade caused by market mechanism was better than what the government-led. Open to the outside world failed to promote the industrial upgrade in PRD, but the degree of dependence on foreign trade is conducive to the development of the second industry in the core of PRD. In addition, this paper also found that investment in fixed assets is conducive to improve the production efficiency of enterprises, the relative speed of development of second industry and the third industry mutual extrusion.

关 键 词：市场主导 政府主导 产业升级 

分 类 号：F20[经济管理—国民经济]