基于系统动力学的辽宁临港产业带经济影响分析  

Economy analysis on coastal economic zone in Liaoning province based on system dynamics

作　　者：王健[1] 王军[1] 王美蓉[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学交通运输管理学院,辽宁大连116026

出　　处：《大连海事大学学报》2014年第3期13-16,共4页Journal of Dalian Maritime University

摘　　要：以系统动力学模型为主体,结合投入产出法、乘数法和计量经济学模型,对辽宁省临港产业带的经济影响进行分析.运用VENSIM软件构建辽宁临港产业带经济影响的系统动力学模型,通过基本模拟和政策模拟,获得2020年前辽宁临港产业带对社会经济影响的动态变化,并分析了不同政策对其发展的影响.The economy influence on coastal economic zone in Liaoning province was conducted based on system dynamics （SD）, combining with input-output method, the multiplier, and econometrics model .SD model was applied to analyze the influence on economy of coastal economic zone in Liaoning province by using VENSIM software .The dynamic variation of the influences of coastal economic zone before year 2020 on the social economy in Liaoning province was obtained through basic simulation and policy simulation , and the influence of different policies on its development was also researched .

关 键 词：辽宁临港产业带 经济影响 系统动力学 投入产出法 

分 类 号：F50[经济管理—产业经济]