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出 处:《农业科学研究》2014年第3期78-83,共6页Journal of Agricultural Sciences
基 金:国家自然科学基金项目"生态移民满意度驱动机制及其安置模式选择策略研究"(G305-71263041);福特基金资助项目"干旱风沙区生态移民对农牧民及社会环境的影响研究"
摘 要:以宁夏为例,将农村劳动力转移数量、城市化水平、城乡期望收入差距、劳动力转移成本作为内生变量,建立一个向量自回归模型,同时进行协整检验、基于误差修正模型的脉冲响应函数分析.研究发现,农村劳动力对自身有强的带动作用.市场化程度与农村劳动力转移正相关,收入差距和城市化水平与农村劳动力转移基本负相关.因此,应在发展农村经济的同时鼓励劳动力密集型产业发展、改革户籍制度来增加劳动力流动性.This paper is taken Ningxia as an example, consider the number of rural labor migration,urbanization, ecpected,income gap, rural labor migration cost as an endogenous variable, establing a vector autoregressive model, at the same time,operating a cointegration test and impulse response function based on the error correction model. We found that the rural labor force has a strong leading function on their own. Positive correlation between marketization and the migration of rural labor,the expected income gap and urbanization level basically present negative correlation.with the migration of rural labor.Therefore, revitalize the rural economy, and meanwhile encourage the development of labor-intensive industries, reform household registration system to increase the mobility of labor.
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