台湾跨越中等收入陷阱的实证研究与经验借鉴  

Empirical Study on Taiwan's Escaping the Middle-Income Trap and Its Experience Reference for Chinese Mainland

作　　者：李月[1] 邓露[2] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学台湾经济研究所 [2]中央财经大学统计与数学学院

出　　处：《台湾研究》2014年第5期46-54,共9页Taiwan Studies

基　　金：2011年度国家社科基金项目"中国跨越"中等收入陷阱"的战略创新研究"(编号:11CJL003);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目"从城乡分割到一体化的转化机制与实现路径研究"(编号:NKZXB1432)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：文章以中国台湾为例,分别从理论研究与实证检验两个层面探究中等收入陷阱的内涵本质以及该阶段经济运行出现的必然性转变。经研究发现:一般意义上,中等收入阶段需要面临三大转变,分别是刘易斯转折点、经济发展方式的转变、国际竞争优势的转变,只有顺利突破这三大转变,才能够顺利跨越中等收入陷阱。中国台湾80年代中期至90年代中期,经济运行陆续实现了这三大转变,成功跨越中等收入陷阱,其中离不开台湾当局积极的战略调整,特别是能源环境战略、金融战略、科技发展战略调整。This paper takes Chinese Taiwan as an example to analyze the meaning and inevitable transi- tion in the middle-income stage both from a theoretical way and an empirical way. It is found that, in general, there should be three c economic development hanges in the middle-income stage, just as Lewis＇ s turning point, the transformation of pattern, and the change of international competitive advantage. Only by breaking through these three changes can a country and an area escape the middle-income trap. From the middle of 1980s to 1990s, the economy of Chinese Taiwan accomplishes the three changes and escapes the middle-income trap. In this process, strategic adjustment in Taiwan plays an important role, especially the energy and environment strategy, financial strategy, and the development strategy of science and technoloa, v.

关 键 词：中等收入陷阱 刘易斯转折点 经济发展方式转换 国际竞争力 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]