菲律宾南海政策转变背后的国内政治因素  

Domestic Politics and Change in the Philippine's Policy towards the South China Seas

作　　者：查雯[1] 

机构地区：[1]外交学院国际关系研究所

出　　处：《当代亚太》2014年第5期120-139,159-160,共20页Journal of Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies

基　　金：外交学院国际关系国家重点学科资金的支持

摘　　要：阿罗约执政时期,中菲在解决南海端问题上取得了一定进展。然而,阿基诺三世当选后,菲南海政策出现了从温和到激进的转变。对这一现象,已有研究大多强调美国"重返亚太"战略对菲南海政策的影响。与此不同,文章试图从菲国内政治的角度出发解释其南海政策的转变。文章认为,受阿罗约政府贪腐丑闻的影响,中菲南海合作在菲遭遇"污名化",菲社会出现了不利于南海合作的舆论氛围。阿基诺三世上台后,通过推行激进的南海政策来标榜自己"清廉、坚决捍卫国家利益"的形象,并借力民族主义打压阿罗约及其政治盟友,而在"反腐"与"民族主义"旗号下悄然进行的,别是一场服务于阿基诺三世个人及其家族利益的"政治清算"运动。Following the election of Aquino Ⅲ,the Philippine's policy towards the islands shifted from one of moderation to one of extremism.This article takes a different approach,looking instead to domestic politics of the Philippines to explain policy change.It argues that China-Philippines cooperation around the South China Seas was seriously tarnished by the corruption scandal within the Arroyo government,with public opinion in the Philippines shifting in ways highly unfavorable for such cooperation.After Aquino III took office,he attempted to distinguish himself by taking a hardline policy on the South China Sea,and establishing an image for himself as 'honestly and steadfastly defending the national interests.' In this way,Aquino III was able to leverage nationalism and anti-corruption to discredit Arroyo and her political allies,and quietly serve his personal and family interests through a 'political liquidation' movement.

关 键 词：南海争端 美国因素论 能源驱动论 利益集团论 “政治 清算”运动 

分 类 号：D822.334.1[政治法律—政治学] D815.3[政治法律—外交学]