我国经济社会协调发展动态监测的方法探索——借鉴基尼系数测算方法测度经济社会协调发展度  

Ways to Explore Dynamic Monitoring Mehtod upon China's Coordinated Economic and Social Development——Measuring the Coordinated Economic and Social Development Degree through Computing Method of Gini Coefficient

作　　者：范柏乃[1] 刘四方[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学公共管理学院,杭州310058

出　　处：《科技与经济》2014年第5期85-89,共5页Science & Technology and Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目--"地方政府绩效与地方政府信用的互动及互动机理研究"(项目编号:71073140;项目负责人:范柏乃)成果之一

摘　　要：借鉴基尼系数的计算方法对我国1995年-2010年的数据进行计算、分析,以经济发展度为横坐标,社会发展度为纵坐标,画出各年份于坐标系内对应的点,以每相邻两年所对应点与坐标系45°线所围成面积表示经济社会协调发展度,刻画出15年间中国经济社会协调发展的动态状况。经过分析发现,1998年以前我国经济社会发展整体较为落后但较为协调;1998年-2007年,我国经济发展迅速,社会发展严重滞后,经济社会协调发展度逐年降低;2007年-2009年受国际经济形势和国家政策影响我国经济发展减缓,社会发展较快,经济社会协调度大幅提升;2009年以后经济发展速度回升,总体趋势上,社会发展仍然滞后。Taking example by the computing method of Gini coefficient to compute and analyze the data during 1995 to 2010 in our country, with economic development as the x-coordinate and social development as y-coordinate, the points corresponding to each year can be drawn in the coordinate system; Each two adjacent years＇points can enclose an area with the line of 45° in the coordinate system and this area can signify the coordinated economic and social development degree, and the dynamic status of Chinese coordinated economic and social development can be shown. After analysis, it is found that, before 1998, the entire economic and social development in China falls behind but was relatively coordinated; from 1998 to 2007, the economy in China developed rapidly, while social development seriously fell behind, and the coordinated economic and social development degree decreased by year; from 2007 to 2009, the economic development of China slow down because of world economic situation and China＇s policy, and the coordinated economic and social development degree increased a lot; after 2009, the economic development has been increasing, while the social development still falls behind, and the whole situation is good.

关 键 词：经济社会发展协调度 动态监测 协调系数 基尼系数测算方法 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]