中国地球气候系统模式研究进展:CMIP计划实施近20年回顾  

Development of earth/climate system models in China:A review from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project perspective

作　　者：周天军[1,2] 邹立维[1] 吴波[1] 金晨曦[1,3] 宋丰飞[1,3] 陈晓龙[1,3] 张丽霞[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室,北京100029 [2]中国科学院气候变化研究中心,北京100029 [3]中国科学院大学,北京100049

出　　处：《气象学报》2014年第5期892-907,共16页Acta Meteorologica Sinica

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41125017;41330423;41205080)

摘　　要：在系统总结过去20年从CMIP1到CMIP4世界各国模式的综合情况基础上,回顾了中国气候模式参与CMIP科学试验的概况。在此基础上,慨述了CMIP5的试验设计,总结了参加CMIP5的5个中国气候模式的特点。随后,从高分辨率模式研发、地球系统模式研发、地球气候系统模式最为关键的分量——大气环流模式和海洋环流模式研发的角度,提出了中国地球气候系统模式发展面临的挑战,指出了中国模式发展面临的机遇。针对如何从国家层次协调以实现地球气候模式的可持续发展问题,给出了美国国家科学院最近发布的《推动气候模拟的国家战略》所提出的九条措施作为参考。The development of coupled earth/climate system models in China over almost the past 20 years is reviewed,including a comparison with other international models that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project（CMIP） from phase 1（CMIPl） to phase 4（CMIP4）.The Chinese contribution to CMIP is summarized,and the major achievements from CMIPl to CMIP3 are listed as a reference for assessing the strengths and weaknesses of Chinese models.After a description of CMIP5 experiments,the five Chinese models that participated in CMIP5 are then introduced.Furthermore,following a review of the current status of international model development,both the challenges and opportunities for the Chinese climate modeling community are discussed.The development of high-resolution climate models,earth system models,and improvements in atmospheric general circulation and oceanic general circulation models,which are core components of earth/climate system models,are highlighted.To guarantee the sustainable development of climate system models in China,the need for national-level coordination is discussed,along with a list of the main components and supporting elements identified by the US National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling.

关 键 词：耦合模式比较计划(CMIP) IPCC报告 大气环流模式 海洋环流模式 气候系统模式 地球系统模式 高分辨率模式 

分 类 号：P435[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]