对经济周期几个问题的认识  

My Acknowledgement on Issues concerning Economic Cycle

作　　者：陈乐一[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学经济研究中心,湖南长沙410079

出　　处：《财经问题研究》2002年第8期10-15,共6页Research On Financial and Economic Issues

摘　　要：19世纪初叶以来至现在 ,西方经济周期理论假说已经汗牛充栋 ;6 0年代中期以来 ,东西方学者对社会主义经济周期波动研究也取得了较多的成果 ;但是 ,中国经济周期研究却远远滞后于国外同类研究。 2 0世纪 90年代 ,中国经济周期的新特征是 :扩张与收缩的比率迅速下降。失业与经济周期的阶段十分密切 ,解决中国失业问题 ,从根本上来说是要促成经济的全面回升和扩张。战争导致经济周期变形 ,它有时固然能带来“战争景气” ,但总的说来是给经济带来巨大的负面影响。From early 19 th century till now,there has been a lot of theoretical hypotheses on economic cycle in western countries;since the middle of 1960s,much research achievements have also been made scholars both in eastern and western countries on economic cycle and fluctuation in socialist countries;however,research in China on economic cycle has fall behind the research in foreign countries.During the 1990s,the new feature in China's economic cycle is,the ratio between expansion and contraction has fallen down rapidly.There is close relation between unemployment and periods of economic cycle,the solution of unemployment problem depends fundamentally on economic recovery and expansion.War leads to distortion of economic cycle,it can sometimes bring'economic boom',but will cause generally tremendous negative effect on economy.

关 键 词：经济周期理论 奥肯定律 经济周期变形 失业 战争 

分 类 号：F037.1[经济管理—政治经济学]