将GDP增长率由预期目标改为预期(测)值  

Switching the GDP Growth Target to Expected Value

作　　者：刘克崮[1] 刘红灿[2] 

机构地区：[1]国家开发银行 [2]财政部财科所

出　　处：《全球化》2014年第9期114-117,121,共5页Globalization

摘　　要：将国内生产总值(GDP)增长率由预期目标变为预期(测)值,并根据经济形势的变化每季度调整,是为了使各级政府不再一味盯着GDP,而将更多精力投入到经济结构调整和提质增效、环境治理、民生建设等方面。适度软化GDP增长目标,主要是基于以下考虑:经济持续高速增长积累了大量矛盾;软化GDP增速目标可为调结构留出空间;应尊重客观经济规律,落实党的十八届三中全会关于发挥市场在资源配置中的决定性作用的精神;软化增速目标可减少外部贸易摩擦;GDP增速下降并不会对就业增长造成较大影响。Switching the gross domestic product(GDP) growth target to expected value and adjust it every quarter according to the economic situation will let all-level of government concentrate more on the adjustment of economic structure, improving the quality and efficiency, environmental governance and construction of people's livelihood, instead of GDP itself. Moderately softening GDP growth rate target are mainly based on the following consideration: firstly, we have created the miracle of world economy growth, but in the meanwhile,such growth has accumulated a lot of conflicts; secondly, the easing of GDP growth target could leave some space for restructuring; thirdly, we should respect the objective economic law, and implement the policy about playing the decisive role for market proposed in the Third Plenary Session of the Eighteenth; moreover, softening the growth target can reduce the external trade conflicts; lastly, the decline of the GDP growth rate will not influence the employment growth too much.

关 键 词：GDP 预期目标 预期(测)值 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]