我国制造业区域结构相似性演进趋势与影响因素研究  

A Study on Evolution Trend and Influence Factors of Regional Structural Similarity about China's Manufacturing Industry

作　　者：邱风[1] 王正新[1] 刘伟 

机构地区：[1]浙江财经大学经济与国际贸易学院,杭州310018 [2]浙江中农投资有限公司,杭州310000

出　　处：《浙江工商大学学报》2014年第5期102-112,共11页Journal of Zhejiang Gongshang University

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究项目"我国制造业空间集聚;结构演进与地方保护行为--理论分析与实证研究"(11YJA790120);浙江省社科规划重点项目"浙江省制造业空间集聚;结构变迁的理论分析与实证研究"(11JCYJ01Z);国家自然科学基金项目"战略性新兴产业演化与政策优化研究"(71373226);国家社会科学基金项目"我国生产性服务业集聚与制造业转型升级的互动效应研究"(14BJY080)

摘　　要：本文对区域间产业结构相似性的测度方法及我国区域间产业结构相似性变迁趋势与原因进行了简要回顾。选定相关指标,对我国区域间制造业结构相似性趋势给出判断。研究发现,近年来我国区域间制造业结构相似性呈先下降后上升再趋下降的态势,且改进克鲁格曼指数与重合度指数完全一致。实证分析了我国制造业结构相似性的影响因素,结果表明:政府行为对区域间制造业结构相似性具有极为重要的影响;资源禀赋差异、运输成本差异、地方保护力度差异、经济发展水平差异与制造业结构相似性呈负相关;前一期滞后项、政府直接投资差异与制造业结构相似性正相关。基于对区域间结构相似性趋势的判断以及实证分析的结论,提出了相关政策建议。This paper reviews the measuring method of industrial structure similarity, the changing trajectory and causal analysis of China regional structural similarity in recent years. This research shows that MKI completely coincides with SSI. The industrial structure similarity in China has first decreased, and then increased, at last with a downward trend in recent years, Empirically the paper analyzes the influence factors of manufacturing structural similarity, and the result shows that the government behavior has a great important influence on regional manufacturing structural similarity; Manufacturing structural similarity is negatively related to the following difference of factor between regions ： resource, transportation costs, local government protection, level of economic development; Before one period lag, difference between government direct investment have the positive correlation with manufacturing structural similarity. Finally the paper puts forward relevant policy recommendations based on the changing trajectory of structural similarity and the conclusion of empirical analysis.

关 键 词：制造业 结构相似性 实证研究 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济]