劳动者报酬占比、城乡收入分配与中国居民消费率——基于省际面板数据的实证研究  

Share of Labor Remuneration, Urban-rural Income Distribution and Chinese Household Consumption Rate——An Empirical Study Based on the Inter Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：高帆[1] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学经济学院,副教授上海200433

出　　处：《学术月刊》2014年第11期40-49,共10页Academic Monthly

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"我国城乡要素交换关系完善的理论研究与实证分析"(12CJL039);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划项目"中国城乡二元经济结构转化的政治经济学"(NCET-11-0105);上海市哲学社会科学规划项目"转型发展背景下上海化解新二元结构问题研究"(2012FJL001)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：提高居民消费率对中国经济发展方式转型具有至关重要的意义。针对劳动者报酬占比、城乡收入差距和居民消费率,可以提出三个假说:(1)在边际消费倾向递减的前提下,平均消费倾向伴随着收入增长而不断下降;(2)在平均消费倾向递减的情形下,收入分配差距与平均消费倾向变动反相关;(3)在控制其他变量的条件下,居民消费率与劳动者报酬占比正相关,而与居民收入差距反相关。基于逻辑推演,采用1992-2012年中国31个省区的面板数据进行研究,实证结果支持了上述假说。中国居民消费率受到收入差距、人口结构以及财政格局等多重因素的影响,劳动者报酬占比提高1个百分点,会导致居民消费率提高0.2658个百分点,而城乡收入差距提高1个百分点,会导致居民消费率下降0.0612个百分点。Three hypotheses could be proposed based on the share of labor remuneration, urban- rural income gap and household consumption rate. First, given the decreasing marginal propensity to consume, the average propensity to consume is declining along with income growth. Second, in the case of decreasing average propensity to consume, the income gap and the average propensity to consume are negatively related.Third, keeping other variables constant, household consumption rate is positively correlated with labor remuneration share, and negatively correlated with urban-rural income gap. Based on logical deduction, 31 provinces＇ panel data from 1992 to 2012 were invited to test our hypothesis, and the empirical results supported the three hypotheses. Chinese household consumption rate is affected by income gap, population structure, financial supporting and etc. One percentage increase on labor remuneration share will improve household consumption rate to 0.2658 percent, while the urban-rural income gap arising one percent attribute to 0.0612 percentage decline in the consumption rate.

关 键 词：居民消费率 平均消费倾向 劳动者报酬占比 城乡收入差距 

分 类 号：F12[经济管理—世界经济]