“克娄巴特拉的鼻子”:历史的必然性与偶然性问题新论  

Kleopatra's Nose: A New Study of the Historical Contingency and Inevitability

作　　者：邓欢[1] 

机构地区：[1]西华师范大学历史文化学院,四川南充637009

出　　处：《西华师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2014年第4期51-56,共6页Journal of China West Normal University:Philosophy & Social Sciences

基　　金：四川省教育厅社会科学重点项目(12SA123)

摘　　要：理解历史必然性和偶然性及其关系要注意一些限定条件。历史偶然性的概念需要从本体论和认识论的角度进行界定;不同条件下的人类社会,有着不同的发展规律,其中的"必然"与"偶然"的关系也不同;在近似条件下也要注意从规律的不同层次区分必然与概然;历史必然性和偶然性的作用在不同的时段体现不同;人的选择最终决定了历史前进的具体方向。We should pay attention to some limited conditions when we understand historical contingency and inevitability and the relationship between them. The concept of historical contingency should be defined from the point of view of ontology and epistemology. The laws of development are different in human societies under different conditions and the relationship between inevitability and contingency are also different. Under the approximate conditions, we should also carefully distinguish the inevitable and probable law from different levels of laws. The role of historical inevitability and contingency reflects differently in the different periods. People＇s choices eventually decide the specific direction of historical development.

关 键 词：历史必然性 历史偶然性 条件性 

分 类 号：K01[历史地理—历史学]