广西电力经济协调发展研究  

Study on Coordinated Development between Electric Power and Economy in Guangxi

作　　者：孙志媛[1] 刘默斯[1] 王富松[2] 

机构地区：[1]广西电网公司电力科学研究院,南宁530023 [2]广西电网有限责任公司柳州供电局,广西柳州545000

出　　处：《广西电力》2014年第5期17-19,57,共4页Guangxi Electric Power

摘　　要：电力经济协调发展是影响国民经济可持续发展的重要因素之一。为了评估广西经济与电力间的因果关系和协整平衡关系,通过运用格兰杰因果关系及协整检验的方法,对广西1978—2007年电力与经济指标数据进行统计分析。研究结果表明:广西国民生产总值和工业总产值增加是推动区内电力装机容量增加及电力消费增长的原因,且广西工业生产总值与电力消费存在长期稳定的关系。Coordinated development between the electric power and the economy is one of important factors influencing the sustainable development of national economy. In order to evaluate the causality relationship and the co-integration balance relationship between Guangxi economy and electric power, statistical analysis of Guangxi electricity and economic indicators data from 1978-2007 is done by applying the Granger causality relationship and co-integration test method. Study results show that increases of Guangxi GDP and gross industrial output value are reasons to promote the increase of electric power installation capacity and electric power consumption. There exists a long-term stable relationship between Guangxi gross industrial production and electric power consumption.

关 键 词：电力经济协调发展 单位根检验 格兰杰 协整检验 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F426.61