我国工业用地与居住用地的合理比价估算——基于35个大中城市的实证研究  

Reasonable Ratio between China's Industrial Land and Residential Land:Empirical Study of 35 Large and Medium-Sized Cities

作　　者：曹清峰[1] 王家庭[2] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学城市与区域经济研究所 [2]南开大学中国城市与区域经济研究中心

出　　处：《财经科学》2014年第9期88-98,共11页Finance & Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(编号:12BJY048)阶段性成果

摘　　要：文章基于2003—2012年我国35个大中城市的面板数据,通过估计工业生产函数得到工业用地的年租金,进一步利用租金现值法得到工业用地的年均衡价格,在此基础上对我国城市工业用地与居住用地的合理比价进行了估算。研究表明:2003—2012年我国城市工业用地与居住用地实际比价为0.17,而测算得到的合理比价为0.43,整体上我国工业地价以被低估为主。工业用地与居住用地合理比价和实际比价形成了明显的"剪刀差",且其差值在近年来呈扩大趋势,工业地价被低估的现象不断加剧。从区域差异来看,东部地区城市工业用地与居住用地比价的不合理程度最高,中部地区次之,西部地区最低。最后,本文针对如何构建工业用地与居住用地合理比价机制提出了相应政策建议。This paper calculates the equilibrium price of industrial land using the present value of annual rents of industrial land by estimating the industrial production function and then estimates the equilibrium price ratio of industrial land and residential land of China. The results show firstly the real price ratio of China industrial land and residential land from 2003 to 2012 is 0. 17 while the estimated equilibrium ratio is 0. 43 and this means generally the industrial land price is underestimated in China. Secondly, there exists a growing price scissor be- tween real and equilibrium price ratio of industrial and residential land. Thirdly, the ml^asonable degree of price ratio of industrial and residential land in the East Region is the highest and the Middle Region is lower, while the West Region is the lowest. Lastly, this paper puts forward suggestions about how to foster the system of reasonable price ratio of industrial and residential land.

关 键 词：工业地价 居住地价 租金现值 合理比价 

分 类 号：F301.3[经济管理—产业经济]