中国双向FDI的产业结构升级效应:理论机制与实证检验  

Effects of Two-way FDI on Industrial Restructuring in China:Influence Mechanism and Empirical Test

作　　者：贾妮莎[1] 韩永辉[1] 邹建华[1] 

机构地区：[1]中山大学岭南学院,510275

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2014年第11期109-120,共12页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：中山大学2013年度笹川良一优秀青年奖学基金重要创新项目;国家自然科学基金青年项目(71003107);海南省哲学社会科学规划课题[HNSK(GJ)14-21];海南省教育厅重点项目(HNKY2014-07)

摘　　要：中国正以东道国和投资国双重身份在国际分工中扮演越发重要的角色。本文剖析双向FDI的产业结构升级效应的理论机制,结合1982-2012年中国时间序列数据,利用协整、误差修正和脉冲响应模型,实证检验中国双向FDI与产业升级的关系。结果显示:在短期,IFDI对产业结构升级的贡献更为突出;在长期,中国双向FDI对产业结构升级均有促进作用,但IFDI对产业结构高度化的促进效应更显著,OFDI则对产业结构合理化的促进作用更显著;从动态冲击看,双向FDI都会将自身所受外部冲击传递至产业结构合理化和高度化。In recent years, China is playing an important role in the international specialization as both a host country and an investor. After researching on the effect mechanism of two-way FDI on industrial structure in a developing country, the paper tries to analyze the effect of two-way FDI on industrial structure in China from 1982 to 2012, by using Cointegration Test, Error Correction and impulse response models. The results show that in the short term, inward FDI has a higher promoting effect on industrial restructuring. In the long term,there are promoting effects on rationalization and advancement of industrial structure from two-way FDI. While OFDI has a higher promoting effect on rationalization of industrial structure than IFDI, and IFDI has a higher promoting effect on advancement of industrial structure than OFDI. From the dynamic effect, the shocks that two-way FDI suffers will be transmitted to the external conditions of industrial structure rationalization and advancement.

关 键 词：外商直接投资 对外直接投资 产业结构优化升级 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济]