论数学方法在日常电量预测中的应用  

作　　者：李赋欣[1] 杜雪松[1] 徐厚东[1] 佟如意[1] 

机构地区：[1]四川省电力公司,四川成都610041

出　　处：《中国科技纵横》2014年第23期129-131,共3页China Science & Technology Overview

摘　　要：全社会用电量不断增长是电力工业发展的基础。正确地预测全社会用电量，既是为了保证全社会经济平稳发展的需要，也是电力公司自身健康发展的需要。本文运用多种数据方法对四川省内全社会用电量进行预测，同时引入专家评定的理念，对各种预测方法给出影响权重，最终得到较优的全社会用电量预测数据，为四川省内能源资源平衡、电力余缺调剂，以及电网资金和人力资源的需求与平衡提供可靠的依据。The consumption of the whole society growth is the basis for the development of power industry. Correctly predict the power consumption of the whole society,not only in order to ensure the smooth development of the whole social economy needs,but also the need of the development of the electric power company.Using a variety of data of Sichuan Province is applied to forecast the electricity consumption,while the introduction of expert evaluation concept,for forecasting method gives influence weight,this paper finally get the data to predict social power consumption for Sichuan Province energy balance,power adjust surplus and deficiency,and provide reliable demand and balance the power of capital and human resources.

关 键 词：社会用电量 预测 组合方法 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]