中国经济真是“粗放式增长”吗——中国经济增长质量的经验研究  

Is Chinese Economy “the Extensive Growth Mode”—— Research on the Growth of China's Economic Quality

作　　者：唐毅南[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学公司金融与资本市场研究中心,上海200433 [2]复旦大学新政治经济学研究中心,上海200433

出　　处：《学术月刊》2014年第12期82-96,共15页Academic Monthly

摘　　要：中国经济结构调整的方向要求客观评价中国经济成长的成就和原因。西方主流经济学家把金融危机的部分原因归之于中国的发展模式。国内不少经济学家也断言中国过去三十年的发展模式是"粗放增长",要求中国的结构转型向西方尤其是美国模式靠拢。通过比较研究发现:中国经济是"高投资、高效率、高技术进步"和"低能耗"的高质量增长,其结果是GDP和消费同步高速增长。认为中国是"高投资、低效率、低消费"的"粗放增长"没有多少经验证据。夸大发展必经的社会代价、否定中国发展的成功道路、扭曲国家发展战略的制定,可能带来严重后果。如何客观评价中国和西方的发展道路,重新讨论如何用实践检验真理,是中国经济学界不可回避的大问题。Chinese strategy of economic structure upgrade requires an objective evaluation of achievements and reasons of Chinese economic growth. Western mainstream economists put part of the cause of the financial crisis to the development model of China. In the meanwhile, many economists have asserted Chinese developments over the past thirty years as ＂extensive growth＂, and urge China to transform to the western, especially the U.S., model. However, the real scenario of Chinese development can be summarized as ＂high investment ratio, high invest efficiency, rapid technology progress＂ and ＂energy-saving＂. The high development quality has led a synchronous rapid growth of GDP and consumption in China. ＂Chinese extensive growth＂ severely contradicts to material facts, which is a failure of the academic discipline, and undermining academic researches and government policies.

关 键 词：粗放增长 投资效率 劳动生产率 技术进步 消费增长 

分 类 号：F12[经济管理—世界经济]