碳排放权价格对我国能源价格及物价波动的影响研究  

Studies of Carbon Emissions Permit Prices Impacting on China's Energy Prices and Price Fluctuations

作　　者：钟世和[1] 曾小春[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《西北大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2014年第6期139-145,共7页Journal of Northwest University：Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition

摘　　要：以2003年1月—2012年8月芝加哥环境交易所碳价格月度数据为样本,采用VAR模型、脉冲响应及方差分解等方法,探讨碳价波动对我国能源价格及消费者物价指数(CPI)波动的影响。结果表明:碳价波动构成我国能源价格波动的原因,但对CPI影响较小。研究结果为我国政府和企业参与2013—2020年第二期碳减排承诺期碳交易提供了理论基础,防止碳价波动对我国实体经济产生负面影响,并提出了利用碳排放交易促进我国实体经济发展、推进经济结构调整的政策建议。Adopting VAR modeL,impuLse response and variance decomposition methods,the paper discusses the infLuence of carbon price fLuctuations to China＇s energy prices and consumer price index（ CPI）,based on the sampLe of carbon price monthLy data of Chicago environmentaL exchange between August 2012 -January 2003. The resuLt shows that the carbon price fLuctuations constitute the reason of China＇s energy price voLatiLity but Less impact on the CPI. The resuLt provides a theoreticaL basis for the Chinese government and enterprises to participate in the 2013 -2020,the second phase carbon trading in carbon reduction commitment period, and prevents a negative impact of carbon price fLuctuation on China＇s reaL economy,and puts forward the poLi-cy proposaL by using carbon emissions trading to promote China＇s reaL economy deveLopment and boost the eco-nomic structure adjustment.

关 键 词：碳价 能源价格 消费者物价指数 经济结构调整 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]