基于FNP-ADC模型的弹药调度系统保障效能评估  

Support Effectiveness Evaluation of Ammunition Scheduling System based on FNP-ADC Model

作　　者：郭小威[1] 吕晓峰[1] 马登武[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院兵器科学与技术系,山东烟台264001

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2014年第22期195-204,共10页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

摘　　要：正确评估诸如弹药调度系统此类复杂武器装备的系统效能,可为作战指挥决策提供重要支撑依据,从装备系统结构组成及复杂性出发,合理地表示工作状态及其转移过程,在流水网络计划(flow network planning,FNP)技术框架下应用ADC模型开展效能评估.以FNP时间参数为基础,确定了组成分系统故障一般概率分布下的可用性、可信性和保障能力表示方法,分别表示为影响因素的函数关系,最终建立了FNP-ADC模型.综合进行保障效能评估,可进一步分析因素对效能的影响程度,并给出了案例分析.Evaluating system effectiveness of such complex armament as ammunition schedul- ing system provides important basis for command decision-making. Starting from the equip- ment complexity, working conditions and their transfer process are presented reasonably, and ADC model is used to evaluate effectiveness under the framework of flow network plan- ning（FNP） technique. Availability, dependability and support capability of subsystems with general fault probability distribution are expressed as respective functions of factors at the base of FNP time parameters, and FNP-ADC model is proposed. Support effectiveness is evaluated comprehensively to analyze influence degree of factors, and an example is given.

关 键 词：弹药调度 效能评估 流水网络计划 ADC模型 可用度分配 任务成功概率 

分 类 号：E932[兵器科学与技术—火炮、自动武器与弹药工程] E91[军事—军事装备学]