海南省交通系统与旅游系统相关性及协调发展研究  

Quantitative Study on the Correlation and Coordinated Development between Hainan's Traffic and Tourism

作　　者：蒋小玉[1] 李永文[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]海南大学旅游学院,海口570228 [2]海口经济学院旅游学院,海口571127

出　　处：《河南大学学报（自然科学版）》2014年第6期677-682,705,共7页Journal of Henan University:Natural Science

基　　金：海南省哲学社会科学规划课题基金资助项目(hhsk14-12)

摘　　要：交通与旅游之间是相互联系、相互影响的,两者之间的协调发展程度是影响一个地区经济能否良性发展的重要因素.运用SPSS 17.0相关性分析、因子分析法以及模糊数学评价方法,研究了2005-2011年海南省交通系统与旅游系统的相关性及协调性.结果表明:交通系统中除了铁路运输与国际旅游之间的相关性较小之外,其他指标均与旅游相关指标高度相关;2005-2008年属于优质协调发展类旅游滞后型;2009-2010年为优质协调发展类交通滞后型;2011年为中级协调发展类交通滞后型.由此看出,随着海南旅游业的高速发展,交通滞后于旅游的现象愈加明显,提出交通和旅游发展建议,希望为二者之间协调发展政策的制定提供参考.Traffic and tourism are interrelated and influenced each other. The coordinated development of the two systems can affect whether a region＇s economy is healthy or not. Using SPSS 17.0 correlation analysis and principal component analysis and fuzzy mathematical evaluation method, this paper studies the correlation and coordination between Hainan＇ s traffic and tourism. One of the results shows that all the indexes of traffic are highly related to the indexes of tourism except railway traffic and Hainan＇ s international tourism. What＇ s more, from 2005 to 2008, the development style is high coordinated development and tourism lags behind traffic. In the year of 2009 and 2010, the type is high coordinated development and traffic lags behind tourism. The type of 2011 becomes medium coordinated development and traffic lags behind tourism. From the result, we can see that, with the rapid development of tourism, the phenomenon that traffic lags behind tourism is more obvious. Therefore, the paper offers suggestions for the development of traffic and tourism, hoping to provide references for policy making.

关 键 词：海南交通 海南旅游 相关性 协调性 

分 类 号：TU528.01[建筑科学—建筑技术科学]